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Political Alignment and Neighborhood Choice Among Homebuyers

Working Paper, 2026

Linking North Carolina voter records to 250,000+ housing transactions, we find buyers are markedly more likely to purchase in politically aligned neighborhoods — an effect that shrank from 2010 to 2019 despite rising national polarization.

What Lenders See and Miss: Job-Loss Risk in Mortgage Lending

Job Market Paper, 2026

Using LinkedIn career histories of more than 52 million workers, I build job-loss risk indices that predict early mortgage default — yet lenders only partially recognize this risk, and the unpriced exposure is transferred to the secondary market.